Sebino S.p.A.

17/06/2020

On 17 June 2020, Sebino S.p.A. obtained admission to negotiate ordinary shares on AIM Italia, a multilateral negotiations system organized and managed by Borsa Italiana. Negotiations began on 19 June 2020.

Integrae SIM acted as Nomad, Global Coordinator, Private Placement Bookrunner, and Specialist of the Issuer.

The admission took place following the placement of a total of 1,782,000 ordinary cum warrant shares, including greenshoe, all in the capital increase, mainly aimed at institutional and professional investors which generated a demand from investors of 3.69x higher than the collection.

The total equivalent of the offer, at the placement price of euro 2.00 per share, is approximately equal to euro 3.6 million

The enterprise. Sebino Antincendio, founded in Bergamo (BG) in 1982, is an Italian company active in the design, development, and installation of fire and security systems. The Company integrates these activities with a coordinated maintenance service through a 24/7 control room.

Ultima Ricerca Sebino S.p.A.

UPDATE

In 2024, the Group recorded revenues of € 73.43 million, up by 10.1% compared to € 66.67 million in 2023 and above the previous estimate of € 70.00 million. The performance was driven by the strengthening of commercial investments in key international markets, particularly in the United States, South-East Asia, and Eastern Europe, as well as by the positive trend in the Italian market. Despite a temporary contraction in profitability due to extraordinary costs related to operational and structural enhancement, the Group maintained strong profitability, with an EBITDA margin of 20.2%. Net income amounted to € 8.38 million. From a balance sheet perspective, the Net Financial Position improved from a substantially neutral level (€ 0.03 million in 2023) to a positive cash position of € 3.26 million as of 31 December 2024.

In light of the results published in the FY24A annual report, we have revised our estimates for both the current year and the following years. Specifically, we estimate revenues of € 87.00 million for FY25E and EBITDA of € 17.40 million, corresponding to a margin of 20.0%. For the subsequent years, we expect revenues to increase to € 110.80 million (CAGR 24A–27E: 14.7%) in FY27E, with EBITDA reaching € 23.50 million (corresponding to a margin of 21.2%), up from € 14.80 million in FY24A (corresponding to an EBITDA margin of 20.2%). At the balance sheet level, we estimate a cash positive Net Financial Position of € 10.60 million for FY27E. We conducted the valuation of FOPE’s equity value based on the DCF method and the multiples of a sample of comparable companies. The DCF method (which prudentially includes a specific risk of 1.0% in the WACC calculation) results in an equity value of € 211.4 million. The equity value of FOPE based on market multiples is € 209.8 million. The average equity value therefore amounts to approximately € 210.6 million. We set a target price of € 39.00, with a BUY rating and MEDIUM risk profile.