Gruppo Fos
On 22 November 2019, Gruppo Fos S.p.A. obtained admission to negotiate ordinary shares on AIM Italia, a multilateral negotiations system organized and managed by Borsa Italiana. Negotiations began on 26 November 2019.
Integrae SIM acted as Nomad, Global Coordinator, Private Placement Bookrunner, and Specialist of the Issuer.
The total equivalent of the resources raised through the operation amounts to Euro 5 million, through the issuance of 2,221,500 newly issued shares without nominal value.
The placement price The unit price of the shares resulting from the placement was set at Euro 2.25; based on this price, the market capitalization at the beginning of the negotiations was equal to Euro 14 million.
The enterprise. Gruppo Fos, an innovative Genoese consulting and technological research SME, is active in the design and development of digital services and products for large industrial groups, including international ones, and Public Administration.
Ultima Ricerca Gruppo Fos
UPDATE| In FY25A, the Group reported revenues of € 93.58 million, up 27.4% from € 73.43 million in FY24A and above our estimate of € 87.90 million. EBITDA amounted to € 20.52 million, increasing by 38.6% compared to € 14.80 million in FY24A and exceeding expectations of € 19.40 million, with an EBITDA margin of 21.9%, improving from 20.2% in the previous year. EBIT also showed a positive trend, reaching € 17.47 million (+44.2% YoY), with an EBIT margin of 18.7%, while Net Income stood at € 11.45 million, up 36.6% compared to € 8.38 million in FY24A and broadly in line with our forecasts. From a balance sheet perspective, net financial position improved significantly, moving from a cash-positive position of € 3.26 million to € 10.04 million. Following the publication of the FY25A annual report, we revise our estimates for both the current year and the medium term. Specifically, we forecast FY26E revenues at € 110.00 million and EBITDA at € 24.10 million, corresponding to a margin of 21.9%. Looking ahead, we expect revenues to increase to € 144.20 million by FY28E (CAGR 25A–28E: 15.5%), with EBITDA reaching € 32.75 million in FY28E (22.7% margin), up from € 20.52 million in FY25A (21.9% margin). From a financial standpoint, we estimate a cash-positive net financial position of € 13.89 million by FY28E. We conducted the valuation of FOPE’s equity value based on the DCF method and the multiples of a sample of comparable companies. The DCF method (which prudentially includes a specific risk of 1.0% in the WACC calculation) results in an equity value of € 279.6 million. The equity value of FOPE based on market multiples is € 263.9 million. The average equity value therefore amounts to approximately € 271.7 million. We set a target price of € 50.00, with a BUY rating and MEDIUM risk profile. |
