Fenix Entertainment

12/08/2020

On 12 August 2020, Fenix Entertainment S.p.A. obtained admission to negotiate ordinary shares on AIM Italia, a multilateral negotiations system organized and managed by Borsa Italiana. Negotiations began on 14 August 2020.

Integrae SIM acted as the Nomad of the Issuer.

The admission of Fenix Entertainment took place following the placement in Capital Increase of a total of 377,500 shares, at an offer price of 4 euros per share, for a total equivalent value of 1.51 million euros. The capitalization concerning the offer price is equal to Euro 9.51 million, and Euro 11.3 million at the end of the first day of negotiating.

The enterprise. Fenix Entertainment has started the activity through co-productions of films and musical productions of quality works and artists, winners of awards at the Festivals, and a source of accreditation and strengthening the visibility of the brand. The start of the autonomous production activity took place in 2019, both in the cinema (with “Burraco Fatale”, distributed in 2020), and in TV programs (“That’s Amore”, broadcast in 2019 by Rai3). The distinctive feature of Fenix is its presence throughout the value chain, both in the cinema-television and music sectors: from the choice of subjects to a screenplay, from production, co-production, and post-production, up to distribution.

Ultima Ricerca Fenix Entertainment

UPDATE

In FY25A, the Group reported revenues of € 93.58 million, up 27.4% from € 73.43 million in FY24A and above our estimate of € 87.90 million. EBITDA amounted to € 20.52 million, increasing by 38.6% compared to € 14.80 million in FY24A and exceeding expectations of € 19.40 million, with an EBITDA margin of 21.9%, improving from 20.2% in the previous year. EBIT also showed a positive trend, reaching € 17.47 million (+44.2% YoY), with an EBIT margin of 18.7%, while Net Income stood at € 11.45 million, up 36.6% compared to € 8.38 million in FY24A and broadly in line with our forecasts. From a balance sheet perspective, net financial position improved significantly, moving from a cash-positive position of € 3.26 million to € 10.04 million.

Following the publication of the FY25A annual report, we revise our estimates for both the current year and the medium term. Specifically, we forecast FY26E revenues at € 110.00 million and EBITDA at € 24.10 million, corresponding to a margin of 21.9%. Looking ahead, we expect revenues to increase to € 144.20 million by FY28E (CAGR 25A–28E: 15.5%), with EBITDA reaching € 32.75 million in FY28E (22.7% margin), up from € 20.52 million in FY25A (21.9% margin). From a financial standpoint, we estimate a cash-positive net financial position of € 13.89 million by FY28E. We conducted the valuation of FOPE’s equity value based on the DCF method and the multiples of a sample of comparable companies. The DCF method (which prudentially includes a specific risk of 1.0% in the WACC calculation) results in an equity value of € 279.6 million. The equity value of FOPE based on market multiples is € 263.9 million. The average equity value therefore amounts to approximately € 271.7 million. We set a target price of € 50.00, with a BUY rating and MEDIUM risk profile.