Track record

Circle

Calendar
24/10/2018

On 24 October 2018 Circle S.p.A. obtained the admission of its shares on the AIM Italia market organized and managed by Borsa Italiana. Negotiations began on 26 October 2018.

Integrae SIM has acted as Nomad, Global Coordinator of Private Placement and is currently a Specialist of the Issuer.

The total equivalent of the resources raised through the operation amounts to Euro 1.5 million, through the issuance of 638,400 newly issued shares without nominal value.

The placement price The unit price of the shares resulting from the placement was set at Euro 2.40; based on this price, the market capitalization at the beginning of the negotiations is equal to Euro 7.57 million.

The enterprise. Founded in Genoa in June 2012, Circle S.p.A. is a management consulting company with distinctive vertical skills in the port and intermodal logistics sector specializing in the development of automation solutions and the digitization of the Supply Chain

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UPDATE
In 1H26A, Value of Production reached €15.78 million, up 34.0% YoY compared to €11.78 million in 1H25A. EBITDA amounted to €3.83 million in 1H26A, increasing by 44.0% compared to €2.66 million in 1H25A, with the EBITDA margin rising to 24.3%. EBIT reached €2.20 million in 1H26A, up 76.2% compared to €1.25 million in the first half of 2025, with an EBIT margin of 13.9%. Net Income amounted to €1.73 million in 1H26A, increasing by 65.1% compared to €1.05 million in 1H25A. From a balance sheet perspective, as of June 30, 2026, adjusted NFP, which includes approximately €2.50 million in receivables from the European Union, was cash positive by approximately €7.30 million, compared to €3.21 million at year-end 2025.

In light of the results reported in the 1H26A interim financial statements and the acquisition of QMAP, we revise our estimates for both the current year and the following years. In particular, we forecast FY26E Value of Production of €30.20 million and EBITDA of €7.40 million, corresponding to an EBITDA margin of 24.5%. For the following years, we expect Value of Production to increase to €41.00 million by FY29E (25A-29E CAGR: 13.0%), with EBITDA reaching €10.85 million, corresponding to an EBITDA margin of 26.5%, compared to €6.07 million in FY25A, which reflected an EBITDA margin of 24.2%. Finally, we estimate FY26E Adjusted NFP, including receivables due from the European Union, whose collection is structurally deferred in accordance with EU regulations, to be cash positive by €7.57 million. We conducted our valuation of the equity value of Circle based on the DCF method and multiples of a sample of comparable companies. The DCF method (including, for prudential purposes, a specific risk of 2.5% in the calculation of the WACC) returned an equity value of € 75.0 million. Using market multiples, the equity value of Circle was calculated as € 97.2 million (including a 25.0% discount). The results give an average equity value of approximately € 86.1 million. The target price is € 18.00, with a BUY rating and MEDIUM risk.

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