Track record

A.B.P. Nocivelli

Calendar
30/03/2021

On 26 March 2021, ABP Nocivelli S.p.A. obtained admission to negotiate ordinary shares on AIM Italia, a multilateral negotiations system organized and managed by Borsa Italiana. Negotiations began on 30 March 2021.

Integrae SIM acted as Nomad, Global Coordinator, and Issuer Specialist.

The total equivalent collected is equal to over 11 million euros resulting from the placement, at the price of 3.20 euros each, of a total of 3,450,000 ordinary shares, of which, at the start date of the negotiations, 3,050,000 newly issued and 400,000 shares placed within the fiscal year of the over-allotment option granted by the reference shareholder of the Company to Integrae Sim S.p.A.

The enterprise ABP Nocivelli specializes in the construction of technological systems and Facility Management services, a leader in the sector at a national level in most of the Public-Private Partnership operations for the construction of healthcare and hospital facilities.

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UPDATE
In 2024, the Group recorded revenues of € 73.43 million, up by 10.1% compared to € 66.67 million in 2023 and above the previous estimate of € 70.00 million. The performance was driven by the strengthening of commercial investments in key international markets, particularly in the United States, South-East Asia, and Eastern Europe, as well as by the positive trend in the Italian market. Despite a temporary contraction in profitability due to extraordinary costs related to operational and structural enhancement, the Group maintained strong profitability, with an EBITDA margin of 20.2%. Net income amounted to € 8.38 million. From a balance sheet perspective, the Net Financial Position improved from a substantially neutral level (€ 0.03 million in 2023) to a positive cash position of € 3.26 million as of 31 December 2024.

In light of the results published in the FY24A annual report, we have revised our estimates for both the current year and the following years. Specifically, we estimate revenues of € 87.00 million for FY25E and EBITDA of € 17.40 million, corresponding to a margin of 20.0%. For the subsequent years, we expect revenues to increase to € 110.80 million (CAGR 24A–27E: 14.7%) in FY27E, with EBITDA reaching € 23.50 million (corresponding to a margin of 21.2%), up from € 14.80 million in FY24A (corresponding to an EBITDA margin of 20.2%). At the balance sheet level, we estimate a cash positive Net Financial Position of € 10.60 million for FY27E. We conducted the valuation of FOPE’s equity value based on the DCF method and the multiples of a sample of comparable companies. The DCF method (which prudentially includes a specific risk of 1.0% in the WACC calculation) results in an equity value of € 211.4 million. The equity value of FOPE based on market multiples is € 209.8 million. The average equity value therefore amounts to approximately € 210.6 million. We set a target price of € 39.00, with a BUY rating and MEDIUM risk profile.

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