Track record

Modelleria Brambilla

Calendar
3/12/2014

On 03 December 2014 Modelleria Brambilla was admitted to listing on the AIM Italia market by Borsa Italiana. Integræ SIM is a Nomad and Global Coordinator of the operation. The total collection from IPO was equal to € 3 million, of which €1.5 million was dedicated to the Capital Increase and €1.5 million to the issuance of a Convertible Loan Capital.

The placement price is equal to € 2.5.

The enterprise. Modelleria Brambilla, based in Correggio (RE), with a strong international vocation (80% of turnover achieved abroad), is one of the most important companies in the field of precision components for the automotive industry. Founded in 1951 by Eugenio Brambilla and developed in the Sixties by his sons Aldo and Giancarlo, the Company manufactures and markets equipment for the production of cylinder heads, engine crankshafts, gearboxes, manifolds, and other complex jets for commercial and industrial motor vehicles. The important resources dedicated to research and technological innovation, together with the study of design and design carried out with the client, have allowed Modelleria Brambilla to become a reference partner and strategic supplier, through the foundries, of the most important car manufacturers worldwide (BMW, Ferrari, Volkswagen, Ford, GM, Chrysler).

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UPDATE
In FY25A, the Group reported revenues of € 93.58 million, up 27.4% from € 73.43 million in FY24A and above our estimate of € 87.90 million. EBITDA amounted to € 20.52 million, increasing by 38.6% compared to € 14.80 million in FY24A and exceeding expectations of € 19.40 million, with an EBITDA margin of 21.9%, improving from 20.2% in the previous year. EBIT also showed a positive trend, reaching € 17.47 million (+44.2% YoY), with an EBIT margin of 18.7%, while Net Income stood at € 11.45 million, up 36.6% compared to € 8.38 million in FY24A and broadly in line with our forecasts. From a balance sheet perspective, net financial position improved significantly, moving from a cash-positive position of € 3.26 million to € 10.04 million.

Following the publication of the FY25A annual report, we revise our estimates for both the current year and the medium term. Specifically, we forecast FY26E revenues at € 110.00 million and EBITDA at € 24.10 million, corresponding to a margin of 21.9%. Looking ahead, we expect revenues to increase to € 144.20 million by FY28E (CAGR 25A–28E: 15.5%), with EBITDA reaching € 32.75 million in FY28E (22.7% margin), up from € 20.52 million in FY25A (21.9% margin). From a financial standpoint, we estimate a cash-positive net financial position of € 13.89 million by FY28E. We conducted the valuation of FOPE’s equity value based on the DCF method and the multiples of a sample of comparable companies. The DCF method (which prudentially includes a specific risk of 1.0% in the WACC calculation) results in an equity value of € 279.6 million. The equity value of FOPE based on market multiples is € 263.9 million. The average equity value therefore amounts to approximately € 271.7 million. We set a target price of € 50.00, with a BUY rating and MEDIUM risk profile.

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